Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.694963 1.929337 2.186365 2.489477 2.837591 3.225374 3.690790
2025-10-26 1.350885 1.657344 2.020915 2.485332 3.064672 3.765965 4.682937
2025-11-02 1.080476 1.410118 1.827511 2.397501 3.159872 4.150307 5.544223
2025-11-09 0.870497 1.196923 1.633682 2.265114 3.161827 4.400326 6.259084
2025-11-16 0.747275 1.075997 1.537879 2.240508 3.293534 4.830695 7.276873
2025-11-23 0.645450 0.967950 1.441116 2.194256 3.378680 5.195922 8.245438
2025-11-30 0.600482 0.935615 1.447783 2.298769 3.699933 5.954772 9.937344
2025-12-07 0.552469 0.891080 1.428046 2.355823 3.948976 6.627803 11.588800
2025-12-14 0.497965 0.828548 1.370551 2.340821 4.071891 7.101809 12.962875
2025-12-21 0.439622 0.752224 1.280374 2.256668 4.060069 7.334310 13.926215
2025-12-28 0.417972 0.735821 1.289531 2.347231 4.372001 8.189659 16.200701
2026-01-04 0.399897 0.723311 1.303397 2.446836 4.712082 9.141584 18.817355
2026-01-11 0.374542 0.695631 1.288263 2.493119 4.962280 9.968172 21.349643
2026-01-18 0.350735 0.668184 1.270440 2.531959 5.203492 10.813375 24.077008
2026-01-25 0.317256 0.618352 1.203892 2.463883 5.212665 11.172083 25.774584
2026-02-01 0.281682 0.560503 1.115059 2.338057 5.079669 11.200370 26.700183
2026-02-08 0.260664 0.529893 1.077980 2.317923 5.177309 11.759409 29.013350
2026-02-15 0.239522 0.496788 1.032108 2.272643 5.211015 12.174356 31.038421
2026-02-22 0.233819 0.495756 1.054051 2.382568 5.623840 13.556525 35.848926
2026-03-01 0.224295 0.485391 1.054479 2.442593 5.924421 14.707797 40.259630
2026-03-08 0.209858 0.462629 1.024851 2.427389 6.035364 15.392410 43.491361
2026-03-15 0.191665 0.429574 0.968437 2.340122 5.949905 15.548663 45.215422
2026-03-22 0.187151 0.427647 0.984057 2.434350 6.354461 17.090374 51.422277